Phil’s Fanduel Picks 04/12

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We have ten games on the main MLB slate at FanDuel tonight. With all the value on the card there are about a million ways or so to build a lineup for tonight.

The only potential weather problem tonight is the Arizona Diamondbacks/San Francisco Giants game tonight so you might want to keep your eye on the weather if you decide to roster players from that game.

The Rockies Padres game is this afternoon so we don’t have Coors Field to deal with tonight.

 

 

Games

Money Line

Over Under Total

New York Mets @ Philadelphia

Philadelphia -105

8

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh -160

8

Milwaukee @ Toronto

Toronto -195

9

Baltimore @ Boston

Boston -160

10

Atlanta @ Miami

Miami -133

8

L.A. Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

Cubs -130

 

Oakland @ Kansas City

Kansas City -130

8.5

Texas @ L.A. Angels

L.A. Angels -140

8.5

Houston @ Seattle

Houston -113

8

Arizona @ San Francisco

San Francisco -153

8

 

Pitching Options

Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Marcus Stroman ($8600) has a good opportunity tonight against a Milwaukee Brewers offense with a 32 percent strikeout rate against righties. Stroman is coming off a strong 6.1 inning 41 FanDuel point outing against the Tampa Bay Rays and should do well at home against the Brewers and their .301 wOBA and a 78 wRC+ against righties.

Philadelphia Phillies right-hander Vince Velasquez ($8200) has a good opportunity tonight at home against the New York Mets. Velasquez lasted just four innings in his last outing but he did strike out ten Washington Nationals hitters. The Mets are fresh off a 14 run seven bomb massacre but they still boast a 24.5 percent strikeout rate against righties.

Los Angeles Angels right-hander Jesse Chavez ($6000) has a nice opportunity tonight at home against the Texas Rangers. Chavez is fresh off a 5.2 inning win against the Seattle Mariners and faces a Rangers team with a .305 wOBA and wRC+ of 98 against righties this young season.

Possible Stacks for Tonight

I like Boston Red Sox bats tonight against the Orioles Ubaldo Jiminez. The Red Sox have a .314 wOBA and 103 wRC+ against righties. Pay particular attention to Mitch Moreland ($2700), Andrew Benintendi ($3100), Mookie Betts ($4800) and Hanley Ramirez ($3400) tonight.

I like the Los Angeles Angels tonight against A.J. Griffin. Lefties are slugging 1.000 with a .652 wOBA against him on this young season and right handed bats are jacking him to the tune of a .500 slugging percentage and .310 wOBA. I like Cole Calhoun ($3200), C.J. Cron ($2600), Mike Trout ($5000) and Cameron Maybin ($2700) tonight.

The Los Angeles Dodgers hit righties to the tune of a .395 wOBA and wRC+ of 146. They face a tough rightie in John Lackey tonight in Los Angeles. I like Adrian Gonzalez ($3200), Corey Seager ($3800) Yaisel Puig ($3200) and Joc Pederson ($3000). If Chase Utley ($2800) plays you could also go with him tonight.

 

My top three plays for tonight

Last night I went with Manny Machado, Freddie Freeman and George Springer. Springer had 21 FanDuel points and the other two didn’t get it done. It’s okay because we have another day to get it right.

I really like the Red Sox Mookie Betts tonight against Jiminez. Right handed hitters are smashing Jiminez and even though Betts is off to a relatively low start thus far this season his career .310 wOBA and 100 wRC+ gives me plenty of confidence tonight.

I’ll stay with the Red Sox and go with Benintendi tonight against Jiminez. Benintendi is off to a good start this season with a .344 wOBA and wRC+ of 125. Jiminez is allowing left handed bats to torch him for a .444 slugging percentage and .336 wOBA. This could be good tonight.  

I’m going back to the Orioles Manny Machado ($3800) tonight against the Red Sox right hander Steven Wright. Machado is off to a good start against righties this season with a .373 wOBA and wRC+ of 150. Wright has an xFIP of 5.21 this season against righties and I like this opportunity for Machado tonight.

Good luck at FanDuel tonight!!

Special thanks to FangraphsStatmuse and Baseball-Reference for helping me write this posting.

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