Week Seven Tidbits by David Leisure

David LeisureDavid Leisure, Fantasy Football, Football, Sports Noledge5 Comments

As we reach the midpoint of most fantasy football league seasons, we are seeing some names from the past being resurrected from nothingness to apparent relevance.  In the case of Kendall Wright with the Tennessee Titans, the hype may be warranted as Marcus Mariota is finding his way in his sophomore season in the NFL.

In Week six, Wright was targeted nine times and caught eight passes for 133 yards and a TD.  If you have watched Wright with the Titans before Mariota’s arrival and since, he is a possession receiver that catches the five to ten yard out patterns and short passes across the middle as the Titans are driving. When the Titans are in scoring range, it is then that Wright goes downfield and becomes a scoring threat. 

I do not expect Wright to ever achieve elite WR status by any means, but do not shy away from his being a solid WR3 or FLEX option going forward, especially in PPR leagues. The targets will continue to come his way and there will be a week this season where he gets 2 or more touchdowns in 1 game.

On the flip side of the coin, Knile Davis was traded to the Green Bay Packers this week and many people are spending their FAAB money frivolously to acquire him.  Trades made in the NFL do not work the same as they do in Major League Baseball.  Players cannot transition well in the NFL to mid-season trades as they have to learn an entirely different system and the players around them. 

The best case example of in season trades not working as many of us thought they would is when the Browns traded Trent Richardson to the Colts in his second season, one year after he was drafted highly out of the University of Alabama.  The Colts thought he was the missing cog in the engine to an offense with Andrew Luck. Trent Richardson never fit the system and went on to become one of the bigger busts in the history of the NFL. 

In 2015, like many other fantasy owners, I was all over Davis as Jamaal Charles handcuff.  When the opportunity arose after Charles’ season- ending injury, Davis fell down the depth chart behind Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware. Davis ended 2015 with 28 carries for 72 yards with one touchdown and caught just two passes for 24 yards.

This season, he has been truly irrelevant. He has just one carry for -2 yards and two catches for 14 yards.  His only strength could be argued is that he has fresh legs as he is not a victim of overuse.  This week, it has been highlighted that he is the Packers’ only healthy running back, but being that he joined the team on Tuesday and the game is on Thursday night, be cautious with any expectations whatsoever you may have with his Week seven performance and also any hopes you may have for him going forward.

For weeks now, if you have read my tidbits, you have realized I hate when west coast teams travel cross country to play 1 o’clock games in the eastern part of the country. This week, the Raiders travel to Jacksonville.  Rather than telling you to shelve away your Raiders starters such as Derek Carr, Amari Cooper, and Michael Crabtree, let me tell you what you must do instead. Start Blake Bortles!!! Bortles has had a miserable season so far throwing just 8 touchdowns while being intercepted seven times.  This may be the week for the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to wake up as the Raiders have allowed 26 or more points in five of their six games. 

Another name to look for in this game that has been a disappointment this season is Allen Robinson.  What attracts fantasy owners to Robinson other than his obvious talent is the immense number of targets he receives on a weekly basis. So far in five games, Robinson has been targeted 47 times, but has only caught 24 passes.  In three of those games, Robinson was targeted 10 times or more (15 targets in Week one, 11 targets in Week three, and 10 targets in Week four). I would expect that kind of volume against the Raiders at home on Sunday and since I believe Bortles will have a big game, I expect the same to be the case for Robinson.

In Cincinnati, there are 2 teams playing that have combined for a 2-10 record so far. The Bengals and the Browns reside in the bottom half of the AFC North standings, but forgetting about this game would be a mistake for fantasy owners. 

On the Bengals side, expect the offense to be focused on ball control with some mixing in of some deep throws to A.J. Green. My reference to ball control for the Bengals means that I expect them to run the ball a lot, and  that means Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hill will be the players to own this week. Marvin Lewis tends to go with the running attack/ball control game plan rather than opening the game up in a pass heavy attack mode with Andy Dalton in control.

On the Browns side of the ball, they will be the garbage kings of the NFL this week. They will most likely be playing from behind, so that will mean that their wide receivers and running backs should be catching a lot of underneath passes. Everyone knows about Terrelle Pryor and his success by now, but does everyone realize that Gary Barnidge has not yet caught a touchdown through six games already played?  Look for this to change come Sunday as the Bengals defense always has a problem covering the opposing tight end they are facing.

Outside of tidbits about these individual games, I want to make you all aware of something you may or may not yet realize. Week seven has just two teams on bye, but in Weeks eight and nine, six teams are on bye each of those weeks and Weeks 10 and 11 have four teams on bye those weeks as well.

Make sure you take a look at your rosters and check for potential conflicts you may have in coming weeks and address them now by making pickups now.  Preparing now for those potential shortcomings may help you be stronger in these upcoming critical weeks of the fantasy football season.

As always, I appreciate your feedback and  provision of your own tidbits.  A special thanks to John Ceperich (aka JMan) who consistently responds to my articles. We may not agree on our individual takes every week, but through collaboration, we are all made stronger.  Good luck this week everyone.

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5 Comments on “Week Seven Tidbits by David Leisure”

  1. John, I named my segment Tidbits at the beginning of the year for the purpose of identifying them as such.  I have been told by other writers for fantasy sites that you ideally want to keep your articles between 1000-1200 words so that you have enough content, but not too much content where your readers lose interest. When I wrote this article, I did not realize Bortles + Robinson would be so popular this week.  As far as a player I would suggest this week this Sunday morning, I would offer up Marvin Jones as a breakout player. Most are shying away from him due to his potentially being covered by Josh Norman, but Josh Norman on the Redskins in 2016 is nowhere near the lockdown CB that Josh Norman was on the Panthers in 2015.

  2. You know how in pool after a good break the shooter runs the table?  The opening with sentence with NFL players becoming resurrected (back from the dead, just in time of Halloween, hee hee) is a great “break” and he scores the 6 ball- does David’s article end up controlling the table?

    DL sinks 1 ball   (excellent info on Wright and Mariotta)

    DL  5 ball Knile Davis mention

    JMan     15 Ball   You didn’t mention Knile Davis had that 106 yard kickoff return

    DL   2 Ball Bortles mention

    DL  4 Ball Robinson mention

    DL 7 Ball   Bringing attention to gems in Cinc/Browns game

    JMan  13 Ball    No mention of having barf bag handy when picking Bengals RBs just in case

    JMan 9 Ball     No mention of gems that might be found in Detroit/Washington game

    JMan 12 Ball   It would help if you say if you are only focusing on certain games or if these games are the ones everyone should be focused on

    DL  3 Ball  The extensive bye week heads up

    This leaves DL with just an 8 Ball and a player to be announced Week 7 prior to kickoff.

     

  3. Mr. Youmans is spot on about the use of flex position. If you can fit Montgomery in to a WR slot this week, he is a viable starter as he should be in plenty of plays. Trust your rankings of WR though and realize his playing on TNF will make it a really good play or a really bad play. Good luck.

  4. Hey other Steve.  I would start Montogmery tonight, but not in flex.  General rule for thursday night games, dont waste your flex position.  If you start any player on thursday leave your flex free so you are more flexible if an unforeseen incident takes out your projected starter before the game.

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